Horse Racing Tips: The Best Canterbury Bets and Insider Mail

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An improving stayer from Annabel Neasham’s stable can cross a wide lane and score a hat-trick of wins in Canterbury. BEST BETS, INSIDE THE POST

The Daily Telegraph’s race editor Ray Thomas puts his best bets and runs the rule on every race for Canterbury on Wednesday.

The Form: Full NSW Racing thoroughbred form including video replays and everything you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

CANTERBURY

BEST BID

Race 5 #5: FOREVER YOU

Forever You is a promising, resilient mare chasing a hat trick after impressive wins in her last two starts. She won over a difficult distance and seems ready to continue her winning streak.

NEXT BEST

Race 7 #5: SMIRNOVA

Smirnova is unbeaten after three starts, including her runaway attempt at Canterbury on a soft track in the spring. She is testing well and can successfully return to racing.

VALUE BET

Race 6 #3: SUNBORN

Sunborn started strong when she ran out of space on the straight as she took first place at Warwick Farm. She will improve with the race and should be competitive.

QUADDIE

R5: 1,3,5

R6: 2,3,5,8

R7: 3,4,5,7

R8: 3,7,11,13

JOCKEY FOLLOWS

Willie Pike has a good book with six rides including the Team Hawkes coached trio of Cannon (Race 1), Smirnova (Race 7) and Sessions Road (Race 8).

COACH FOLLOWS

Chris Waller, fresh off a Group 1 double at Randwick last Saturday, has a strong entry including Finepoint and Divina (4) and the handy trio of Sindacato, Gracilistyla and Roots.

WITHIN THE POST FOR CANTERBURY

RACE 1

Cannon and Richon have been nominated for Saturday’s Todman Stakes but will be hard to beat if Connections decides to hold the midweek meeting. First starter Cannon showed impressive acceleration in a recent Rosehill Barrier Trial and seems to have skills. Richon rode a pleasing second place on his Newcastle debut ahead of Promitto, who confirmed his form by winning the Skyline Stakes on his next start. Chipper makes his debut after a striking try at Gosford. Himalayanism has had solid races in its only two starts.

Bet: Box trifecta 1,2,4,6

RACE 2

Spitfire ran most of the way over the 1550m from Canterbury but was later shut down by Ocean Shores. After three consecutive minor placements, Spitfire gets his chance here if he races at speed, makes his own fortunes, and is effective on tough tracks. Money From The Sky is an eye-catching chestnut stallion by the English super horse Frankel, who is promising with three placings out of four starts. Is better suited on a larger track but is coming within his right distance now despite being untested on heavy ground. Taizai is another race in fine form and is dying to come through after her fourth small place in six attempts when she finished second at Kensington behind the promising stray and ahead of Money From The Sky. Ultimate Pride is fitter and will improve.

Bet: Spitfire back and forth, Box Trifecta 1,4,7,9

RACE 3

Epic Dan, the up-and-coming 10-year-old, is still competitive at this level, especially when hitting heavy courses. Finishing strong sixth after Mayrose at the Midway in Randwick last Saturday, he had previously performed well when he came back in a week. Epic Dan is a horse that will sail through these extremely difficult conditions and has a good chance. Not Another Reiby went three wide open on the resumption and is worth another chance. He also shines on difficult routes. Devil’s Throat got a confidence boosting win in the last start and the tough real Black Duke will be very competitive.

Bet: Box trifecta 1,3,5,7

RACE 4

Arbitration is an upcoming filly who was dominant in the last start at Warwick Farm, easily defeating subsequent winners Kipsbay and Dalchini. Although Arbitration has never been on a difficult track, she comes from a Commands mare so there is every chance she can handle the conditions. Turning clinched a strong win in second at Newcastle, sweeping down the straight to win with authority. Improving young sprinter who did well in the soft 6 conditions in the last start and was placed on a difficult track. Fillies Finepoint and Divina, trained by Chris Waller, are promising types and Publicist is very fit and in winning form.

Bet: arbitration to win

RACE 5

Forever You, an excellently bred daughter of the super sire Galileo, only had four starts, but shows remarkable stamina. She was impressive winning her first time on a hard course at Kembla and then backed that up with a runaway win on a soft 7 course at Newcastle. Clumsily drawn, but with even luck in running she can make it a hat-trick of wins. Legend Has It and Just A Jedi fought for the finish of a 2200m race from Warwick Farm and are among the main chances here. Amfissa have steadily improved with every run of this campaign and are in no way a match.

Bet: Forever You to win, saver on Amfissa with double digit odds.

RACE 6

Sunborn was a hidden first, finishing an unlucky seventh at Warwick Farm behind Stormborn. She was not tested when held behind the runners for the last 200m and was beaten less than three lengths. Fitter now and Hugh Bowman stays with the mare. Patino Ruby is a smart filly who falls back from a Group 3 race in midweek where she is quite suitable. Excellent on soft tracks and will be very hard to beat. Lisdoonvarna continues after a slack but rides well fresh and handles wet tracks. Impulse Control has won several races on a wet track.

Bet: Sunborn wins, Lisdoonvarna in every way

RACE 7

This could be the race of the day. Fascinating competition featuring the unbeaten duo of Smirnova and Fleet Air Arm against some handy sprinters. Team Hawkes-trained Smirnova has impressively won each of her three starts, with her best win in her final run at a Soft 7 course at Canterbury last spring. She continues two good races and is the one to beat. Fleet Air Arm has won each of his three starts by more than two lengths and has a race fitness advantage after scoring at a Soft 7 track at Newcastle a month ago. Six Again is another promising mare with a good record who will be back but did well in a tough show at Rosehill recently. Duchess is a proven wet tracker and has race fitness on her side.

Bet: Smirnova wins, Box Trifecta 3,4,5,7

RACE 8

Moridan returned to form with an impressive display of sustained speed to win at Warwick Farm. He is untested on difficult courses, but he is a filly with natural talent. Similarly, Roots is a promising filly who also put up an impressive win at Warwick Farm in the last start. She tends to sit back in her races, but even if she’s lucky at running, she’ll be difficult to sustain. Sindacato is a former Kiwi who was in the market for his Australia debut at Rosehill two weeks ago but messed up a lap of the course before the start and was withdrawn. Has held up well since then and is a great watch. Sessions Road stormed through to win in Canterbury and is back in the mix.

Bet: Moridan back and forth, watch bet movements for Sindacato

Originally published as Raceday Focus: Best Bets, inside mail for Canterbury

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